Alaska Senate

If Democrats want Alaska Senate to be competitive, Mary Peltola is the only candidate who naturally fits Alaska well enough to beat an incumbent Republican in an RCV environment—because she wins coalitions, not just partisans.

The “Democracy Ninja” Verdict

Better Democrat for this race: Mary Peltola

Why: She is the rare Democrat who can make Alaska voters feel like they aren’t voting for “the national party.” She changes the coalition math and forces Republicans to spend, defend, and behave.

If Democrats want Alaska to be competitive, this is the candidate.
If they want to “run someone respectable,” they’ll lose politely.

What Peltola Must Do to Make It Real (3 Win Paths)

1) Resource Reassurance Without Groveling

“Pro-jobs, pro-fishing, pro-Alaska resources—with guardrails and local control.”

She can’t sound anti-development.
But she also can’t sound captured.

2) Turn Rural & Indigenous Turnout Into a Machine

This is how she wins.
Not persuasion—mobilization.

3) Make Sullivan the Washington Guy

Not evil. Not corrupt. Just more D.C. than Alaska.

“Nice man. Wrong era. Wrong style. Alaska needs a Senator who feels like home.”

Headwinds (National Mood Scenario)

If the national environment is:

• Anti-incumbent

• Anti-chaos

• Anti-Republican brand

…this race goes from “hard” to truly competitive because Peltola is the exact Democrat who can hold swing voters in a bad environment for the GOP.

If the environment is pro-GOP, Sullivan’s incumbency advantage grows, but Peltola still performs better than any other Democrat because she’s insulated by personal brand.